Research

Elevating the Golden Years: A report on India’s Senior Living market landscape

Projected 300% Growth to USD 7.7 Billion by 2030 Amid Demographic Shift

November 15, 2024
Contributors:
  • Sahil Rajani

India stands on the brink of a significant demographic transformation, with its senior population poised to more than double from 156.7 million in 2024 to an estimated 346 million by 2050. This shift presents both challenges and opportunities, particularly in the realm of senior living housing. A recent report by JLL and the Association of Senior Living India (ASLI) highlights the immense potential of this sector, projecting a staggering 300% growth to reach USD 7.7 billion (INR 64,500 crore)  by 2030.

The current market penetration of 1.3% for senior living facilities in India indicates a vast untapped potential compared to mature markets like the United States and Australia, where penetration rates exceed 6%. This gap signifies a golden opportunity for developers, investors, and policymakers to create innovative, quality-driven solutions for India's aging population.

The report estimates that the target market for senior living facilities will grow from 1.57 million households in 2024 to 2.27 million by 2030. This surge in demand is driven by various factors, including changing family structures, increased life expectancy, and a shift in societal attitudes towards independent living arrangements for seniors.

Southern India has emerged as the epicenter of this boom, commanding 60% of the national market share. This regional dominance is attributed to accelerated population aging due to sustained lower fertility and mortality rates, as well as a higher proportion of parents with Non-Resident Indian (NRI) children.

The senior living sector in India has already witnessed remarkable growth over the past decade, with more than 20,000 specialized units established nationwide. Independent living facilities dominate the landscape, accounting for 85% of the total inventory. This reflects the growing demand for autonomy among India's senior citizens. 

Despite over USD 40 million in institutional investments in the last two years, the market remains in its nascent stages. The sector's current developmental phase, characterized by regulatory, operational, and awareness challenges, enhances its appeal to strategic investors looking for high-growth potential. 

As awareness and acceptance of senior living solutions rise, the sector is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate of approximately 27%. This presents a unique opportunity for India to develop a robust, compassionate senior care ecosystem that not only meets the evolving needs of its elderly population but also fosters sustainable, long-term industry growth.

The evolving market offers a diverse range of housing solutions and services tailored for seniors, focusing on fostering independence, social interaction, and ease of living. The care spectrum encompasses various options, from independent living communities to assisted living facilities, specialized memory care units, and comprehensive Continuing Care Retirement Communities (CCRCs).

As India navigates this unprecedented transition, the country stands poised to become a global leader in senior living solutions, potentially setting new standards for aging populations worldwide. The senior living sector in India is not just an investment opportunity – it represents a chance to be at the forefront of a social and economic revolution, addressing the complex challenges of demographic shift with innovative, sustainable, and inclusive solutions for all generations.

To know more read the JLL report here.

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